STRESS|Economic Intelligence
Key Indicators
Data:Aug 21 · 10:41 PMChecked:Oct 2 · 2:20 PMVerified
Parallel Exchange RateData:Oct 2 · 2:20 PMChecked:Oct 2 · 2:20 PMUpdated
| Baghdad | Basra | Erbil | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buy | 1,567.5 | — | — |
| Sell | 1,577.5 | — | — |
Data:Sep 30 · 1:30 PMChecked:Morning prices
Oil Market · Iraq
Iraq Crude Production · Aug 2026
Iraq Crude Exports · Aug 2026
Recent monthly history
Latest Developments
5 developments · 30-minute news updateThe head of the world’s largest liquefied natural gas buyer expects disruptions to the Strait of Hormuz to persist, further curtailing flows from a region that accounted for about a fifth of global supply before the Middle East war.
The Pentagon may deploy an additional aircraft carrier and 10,000 sailors and Marines to the Persian Gulf, giving US commanders more options if President Donald Trump chooses to escalate attacks on Iran. Bloomberg’s Bryan Pietsch shares the latest news. (Source: Bloomberg).
Gold held a modest gain as US bond yields softened and Federal Reserve officials signaled they needed more time to weigh their next move on interest rates, even as a possible escalation in the Middle East kept energy costs elevated.
A tanker captain’s first-hand account shows why flows from the Middle East are rising, despite the dangers of Iranian drones and missiles.
Risks spanning credit markets, elevated commodity prices and French political turmoil boosted demand for safer government bonds, snapping a prolonged decline fueled by persistent inflation concerns.
Economic Signals
STRESS EI Index
Scenario Outlook
Low Pressure Scenario
12%Shipping normalizes, exports recover and public payments stabilize.
Moderate Pressure Scenario
54%Export friction persists, salaries remain funded with limited delays and markets stay cautious.
High Pressure Scenario
34%Longer disruption cuts receipts, tightens liquidity and increases dinar pressure.